Reliability  Evaluation  of Complex System  with Imperfect Protections

Abstract

Abstract:

Because of the drawbacks of current researches when dealing with the problems of evaluating the reliability of a complex system containing components with propagated failures,a cellular automata-based Monte Carlo simulation algorithm was presented to deal with the complex problems,which combined the advantages of parallel computing of cellular automata and the flexibility of Monte Carlo simulation technology.The proposed algorithm considered the influences of imperfect protections on system reliability and overcame the limitations of system structure and the number of components. Finally, two given examples illustrated the validity of the proposed algorithm respectively and
the method to analyze system reliability.

Key words: complex system;propagated , failure;imperfect , protection;cellular , automata;Monte Carlo , simulation

摘要：

鉴于已有研究在处理由部件失效传播引起的共因失效的复杂系统可靠性评估问题时存在的缺陷,借鉴元胞自动机并行计算的优势以及蒙特卡罗模拟技术在处理复杂问题中的灵活性,提出了一种基于元胞自动机思想的蒙特卡罗模拟方法，该方法考虑了不完全保护对系统可靠性产生的影响,不受系统结构、部件数目的限制。最后，通过两个算例分别说明了该方法的正确性以及在可靠性分析中的具体应用。

关键词: 复杂系统, 失效传播, 不完全保护, 元胞自动机, 蒙特卡罗模拟

CLC Number:

Ruan Yuanpeng, Li Xiao, Cui Jian. Reliability Evaluation of Complex System with Imperfect Protections[J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2015, 26(22): 3001-3007.

阮渊鹏, 李晓, 崔剑. 考虑不完全保护的复杂系统可靠性评估[J]. 中国机械工程, 2015, 26(22): 3001-3007.

References

[1]Lin Y K.Reliability of a Computer Network in Case Capacity Weight Varying with Arcs, Nodes and Types of Commodity [J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2007, 92(5): 646-652.
[2]Dohmen K. Inclusion-exclusion and Network Reliability [J]. The Electronic Journal of Combinatorics, 1998, 5(1): 1-8.
[3]Fratta L, Montanari U. A Boolean Algebra Method for Computing the Terminal Reliability in a Communication Network[J].IEEE Transactions on Circuit Theory, 1973, 20(3): 203-211.
[4]Moskowitz F. The Analysis of Redundancy Networks [J]. American Institute of Electrical Engineers, Part I: Transactions of the Communication and Electronics, 1958, 77(5): 627-632.
[5]Hsu S J, Yuang M C. Efficient Computation of Terminal-pair Reliability Using Triangle Reduction in Network Management [C]//Proceedings of IEEE International Conference on Communications. Atlanta, 1998: 281-285.
[6]Rocco S C M, Zio E. Solving Advanced Network Reliability Problems by Means of Cellular Automata and Monte Carlo Sampling [J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2005, 89(2): 219-226.
[7]Billinton R, Allan N R. Reliability Evaluation of Engineering Systems, Concepts and Techniques[M].New York: Plenum Press,1992.
[8]Fishman G S. A Comparison of Four Monte Carlo Methods for Estimating the Probability of s-t Connectedness [J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 1986, 35(2):145-155.
[9]Rocco S C M, Moreno J A. Network Reliability Assessment Using a Cellular Automata Approach [J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2002, 78(3): 289-295.
[10]Zio E,Podofillini L,Zille V.A Combination of Monte Carlo Simulation and Cellular Automata for Computing the Availability of Complex Network Systems [J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety,2006,91(2): 181-190.
[11]Yeh W C, Lin Y, Chung Y Y. Performance Analysis of Cellular Automata Monte Carlo Simulation for Estimating Network Reliability [J]. Expert Systems with Applications, 2010, 37(5): 3537-3544.
[12]Pozsgai P, Neher W, Bertsche B. Models to Consider Dependencies in Reliability Calculation for Systems Consisting of Mechanical Components[C]//Proceedings of Third International Conference on Mathematical Method in Reliability. Trondheim, 2002:1-4.
[13]Goble M W, Brombacher C A, Bukowski V J.Using Stress-strain Simulations to Characterize Common Cause [M]. New York: Springer, 1998.
[14]Roy D, Dasgupta T. A Discretizing Approach for Evaluating Reliability of Complex Systems under Stress-strength Model [J]. IEEE Transactions on Reliability, 2001, 50(2): 145-150.
[15]周金宇, 谢里阳, 王学敏. 多状态系统共因失效分析及可靠性模型[J]. 机械工程学报, 2005,41(6): 66-70.
Zhou Jinyu,Xie Liyang,Wang Xuemin.Analysis for Common Cause Failure and Reliability Model in Multi-state Systems[J]. Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering, 2005, 41(6):66-70.
[16]Wang C N,Xing L D,Levitin G.Propagated Failure Analysis for Non-repairable Systems Considering both Global and Selective Effects[J].Reliability Engineering & System Safety,2012,99:96-104.
[17]Xing L D,Wang C N,Levitin G.Competing Failure Analysis in Non-repairable Binary Systems Subject to Functional Dependence[J]. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers,Part O:Journal of Risk and Reliability,2012,226(4):406-416.
[18]Levitin G,Xing L D.Reliability and Performance of Multi-state Systems with Propagated Failures Having Selective Effect [J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety,2010,95(6):655-661.
[19]Xing L D,Dugan J B,Morrissette A B.Efficient Reliability Analysis of Systems with Functional Dependence Loops[J].Maintenance and Reliability,2009,43(3):65-69.
[20]Levitin G,Xing L D,Hanoch B H,et al.Multi-state Systems with Selective Propagated Failures and Imperfect Individual and Group Protections[J].Reliability Engineering & System Safety,2011,96(12):1657-1666.
[21]阮渊鹏,何桢.基于MCS-CA的考虑共因失效的复杂系统可靠性评估[J].系统工程与电子技术,2013,35（4）：900-904.
Ruan Yuanpeng,He Zhen.Reliability Evaluation of Complex Systems with Common Cause Failures Based on MCS-CA[J].Systems Engineering and Electronics,2013,35(4):900-904.
[22]阮渊鹏,何桢,张旭涛,等.存在共因失效的复杂可修系统可靠性评估[J].中国机械工程,2014,25（10）:1327-1324.
Ruan Yuanpeng,He Zhen,Zhang Xutao,et al.Reliability Evaluation of Complex Repairable System with Common Cause Failures [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2014, 25(10):1327-1324.
[23]阮渊鹏,何桢.基于MCS的多状态复杂系统可靠性评估[J].系统工程学报,2013,28（3）:410-418.
Ruan Yuanpeng,He Zhen.Reliability Evaluation of Multi-state Complex Systems Based on MCS[J]. Journal of Systems Engineering, 2013, 28(3):410-418.

Reliability Evaluation of Complex System with Imperfect Protections

考虑不完全保护的复杂系统可靠性评估

PDF

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Recommended Articles

Metrics

[1]	WANG Li-Cun, CHEN Jin, ZHANG Xian-Meng, CHEN Guo-Jiang. Study on Geometry Theory of Variable Wall Thickness Scroll Profiles and Shape Optimization Based on Functional Theory [J]. J4, 201016, 21(16): 1898-1901.
[2]	TUN Fu-Chao, TUN Bai-Hu, ZHANG Xiu-Hua. Numerical Simulation of Heat Transfer Performance of Paraffin Thermal-Sensitive Valve  [J]. J4, 201016, 21(16): 1921-1926.
[3]	DONG Guo-Jiang, DIAO Chang-Cai, CAO Miao-Yan, HAO Hai-Bin, YANG Dong-Feng. Study on Wall-thickness and Deformation Regularity of Cylinder Part Based on Solid Granules Medium Forming [J]. J4, 201016, 21(16): 1992-1998.
[4]	GUO Wei, SUN Hongming, XU Gaofei, LI Guangwei, ZHOU Yue, WANG Minjian, . Improvements for Landing Impact Characteristics and Concentrated Stress Structures of Full Ocean Depth Landing Vehicles [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(07): 867-874.
[5]	PU Sipei. Simulation Analysis of Tram-mounted Energy-storing Scheme for Short Group Tramcars Based on Lithium Titanate Battery [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(07): 875-881.
[6]	GU Zhengqi, LIU Zhuangzhi, YANG Zhendong, ZHENG Ledian, YIN Shanbin. Optimization of Air-jet Structure for Automobile Wind Buffeting Noises [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(06): 681-688,733.
[7]	DU Fei;WANG Xinyun;DENG Lei;XIA Juchen;JIN Junsong. Research Progresses of HVIW Technology [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(05): 600-610.
[8]	QIAO Wei1;YAO Weixing1,2. Numerical Analysis of Shear-lag Effect on Curing Deformation of Composites [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(05): 611-616,623.
[9]	XU Peng, ZENG Hongming, ZHU Chenlu, WANG Ping, GENG Ming, XU Yong. High Speed Track Defect Detection Methods Based on Enhanced Magnetic Field Eddy Currents [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(04): 454-459,466.
[10]	LIU Tao1,2;HAN Yan1,2;SUN Renfu1,2;ZHAO Dingxuan1,2 . Study on Dynamic Characteristics of Digital Hydraulic Transformers [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(03): 284-289.
[11]	YU Kexin1；SHANG Qunli1；WU Xin2. Analysis of Cavitation Characteristics for Orifice Plates [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(03): 290-296.
[12]	NI Yuji ;WANG Mingdi;CHEN Tianyu;ZHANG Xiao;NI Chao;LIU Jincong. Design and Experimental Study of Magnetoresistive Electromagnetic Energy Storage Needlel-free Injection System [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(02): 227-234.
[13]	XU Zhiteng;HUANG Hui;CUI Changcai. Modeling and Simulation of Complex Ruled Surface Model for High Efficient Cutting with Wire Saw [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(01): 47-53.
[14]	HU Jian1;CHEN Zezhong1;LIU Tao2;YANG Jinhua3. Simulation and Tests on Hot Forming Process Optimization for Door Anti-collision Beams [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2021, 32(01): 92-100.
[15]	FAN Simin;XIAO Jiming;DONG Yongheng;HONG Xiantao;ZHAO Ting. Study on Modeling and Simulation of Surface Topography of Spherical Milling with Ball-end Milling Cutters [J]. China Mechanical Engineering, 2020, 31(24): 2924-2930，2936.