J4 ›› 2008, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (10): 0-1139.

• 机械科学 •    

线抽样可靠性灵敏度的方差分析

何红妮;吕震宙   

  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2008-05-25 发布日期:2008-05-25

Variance Analysis of Line Samplingbased Reliability Sensitivity

He Hongni;Lü Zhenzhou   

  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-05-25 Published:2008-05-25

摘要:

为判别线抽样可靠性灵敏度分析的收敛性,推导了线抽样可靠性灵敏度估计量的方差和变异系数的计算公式,近似计算了线抽样可靠性灵敏度在给定置信度下的置信区间。通过算例比较了线抽样可靠性灵敏度与Monte-Carlo可靠性灵敏度估计值的方差和变异系数。计算结果表明:线抽样可靠性灵敏度分析方法是一种高效率、高精度的方法。




关键词: 线抽样;可靠性灵敏度;失效概率;方差;变异系数

Abstract:

In order to determine the convergence of the line samplingbased reliability sensitivity method,the variance and the variation coefficient were derived for the reliability sensitivity estimation based on the line sampling.The interval under the given confidence of the reliability sensitivity estimation based on line sampling was calculated approximately.Several examples were used to compare the variance and the variation coefficient of line samplingbased reliability sensitivity and those of MonteCarlobased reliability sensitivity.The results show that the line samplingbased reliability sensitivity method is more efficient than MonteCarlobased reliability sensitivity method with an acceptable precision.

Key words: line sampling;reliable sensitivity;failure probability, variance;variation coefficient

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